Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.057135 0.066887 0.077761 0.090780 0.105941 0.123037 0.143779
2025-09-07 0.042803 0.055725 0.071681 0.092812 0.120054 0.153986 0.199476
2025-09-14 0.033409 0.047186 0.065577 0.091886 0.128531 0.177757 0.248934
2025-09-21 0.026769 0.040438 0.059896 0.089554 0.133575 0.196481 0.293244
2025-09-28 0.021881 0.035041 0.054849 0.086745 0.136762 0.212152 0.334464
2025-10-05 0.019291 0.032539 0.053489 0.088908 0.147214 0.239339 0.395997
2025-10-12 0.016942 0.029966 0.051517 0.089607 0.155154 0.263259 0.455128
2025-10-19 0.014961 0.027655 0.049557 0.089898 0.162222 0.286324 0.515455
2025-10-26 0.013487 0.025978 0.048390 0.091287 0.171184 0.313425 0.585859
2025-11-02 0.012432 0.024890 0.048079 0.094092 0.182915 0.346595 0.671032
2025-11-09 0.010784 0.022416 0.044849 0.090940 0.183038 0.358488 0.717939
2025-11-16 0.009705 0.020900 0.043230 0.090644 0.188527 0.380933 0.787601
2025-11-23 0.008639 0.019279 0.041228 0.089400 0.192146 0.400544 0.854948
2025-11-30 0.007994 0.018461 0.040765 0.091288 0.202474 0.434866 0.956914
2025-12-07 0.007187 0.017162 0.039100 0.090355 0.206647 0.456923 1.035694
2025-12-14 0.006379 0.015737 0.036959 0.088058 0.207481 0.471891 1.100797
2025-12-21 0.005642 0.014367 0.034754 0.085295 0.206861 0.483522 1.159749
2025-12-28 0.005307 0.013924 0.034637 0.087422 0.217875 0.522555 1.286638
2026-01-04 0.004917 0.013286 0.033966 0.088109 0.225515 0.554663 1.401066
2026-01-11 0.004545 0.012637 0.033179 0.088396 0.232193 0.585247 1.515536
2026-01-18 0.004263 0.012186 0.032833 0.089761 0.241764 0.623952 1.654995
2026-01-25 0.004069 0.011950 0.033009 0.092521 0.255296 0.674070 1.829738
2026-02-01 0.003638 0.010979 0.031105 0.089420 0.252875 0.683306 1.898799